Marathon vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Motagua — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Motagua
HON
Marathon and Motagua couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marathon and 1.33 for Motagua.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Motagua?
Marathon 1-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Motagua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Marathon 35%, draw 31%, Motagua 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No went the other way.