Olancho 3-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.5pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.51/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.71
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
30.01.2025 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
28.10.2024 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
19.08.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.03.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
29.01.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
23.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho ran out comfortable winners over CD Real Sociedad 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olancho and 0.83 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Olancho 3-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Olancho 47%, draw 29%, CD Real Sociedad 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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