Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Apr 2026

Sarpsborg 08
1-1 HT 1-1
Start
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Sarpsborg 08 vs Start Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.52
2-3
37%
1.88
4-5
27%
2.74
6+
12%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
10%
8.59
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1 ✗
9%
20.35
2/2
9%
5.98
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarpsborg 08 v Start — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.75/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.64
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.5 Crosses 18.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sarpsborg 08 vs Start Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Start
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2020 Start Start 3-2 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.07.2020 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR
07.10.2018 Start Start 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
16.05.2018 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR
29.07.2016 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
21.04.2016 Start Start 1-4 HT 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR

Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Start — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-1
AWAY Start
1.69 xG 0.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
331 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 and Start couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 58% of the ball to Start's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.69 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 0.83 for Start.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Start?

Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Start in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 54%, draw 22%, Start 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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