Molde vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Molde v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
Molde vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Lilleström
NOR
2-1
HT 2-1
Molde
NOR
0-1
HT 0-0
Molde
NOR
Molde 0-1 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström edged past Molde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Molde at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Molde had 60% of the ball to Lilleström's 40%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.08 to 1.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Molde and 0.67 for Lilleström.
What was the final score of Molde vs Lilleström?
Molde 0-1 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Molde vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Molde 51%, draw 20%, Lilleström 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 went the other way.