Tromsö 2-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.13
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.49
6+
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.03
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
17%
3.98
X/2
7%
10.35
X/X
8%
5.15
2/1
10%
23.5
2/2
9%
8.68
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tromsö win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -22%
2.15/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.12
-16% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.8 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.65 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
437 Passes 434
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
27.07.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 Tromsö Tromsö HAZ
03.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
2-0
AWAY Rosenborg
3.28 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
446 Passes 391
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
43 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö got the better of Rosenborg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tromsö had 53% of the ball to Rosenborg's 47%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 3.28 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tromsö and 1.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Tromsö 2-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 60%, draw 21%, Rosenborg 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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