Valerenga 0-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Apr 2026

Valerenga
0-1 HT 0-1
Viking
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Valerenga vs Viking Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.38
Over Pick
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.84
2-3
40%
1.92
4-5
23%
2.66
6+
14%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.1
1/2 ✗
11%
21.8
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.68
X/2
17%
5.41
X/X
6%
5.75
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
18%
2.97
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.6pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valerenga v Viking — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.31/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.38
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
17.5 Crosses 23.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Valerenga vs Viking Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viking
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Viking Viking 5-1 HT 3-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
30.03.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 3-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
02.09.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
28.08.2022 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
24.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-2 HT 3-1 Viking Viking NOR

Valerenga 0-1 Viking — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
0-1
AWAY Viking
0.90 xG 2.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
336 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 51
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Valerenga 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 51% of the ball to Viking's 49%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 0.90 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viking's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valerenga and 2.00 for Viking.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Viking?

Valerenga 0-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 37%, draw 17%, Viking 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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