Aucas vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Libertad
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 2-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas beat Libertad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aucas had 50% of the ball to Libertad's 50%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.32 to 0.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Aucas and 1.20 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas 2-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aucas 55%, draw 24%, Libertad 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.