Moritanya 0-2 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moritanya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moritanya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sudan
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.17 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
284 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2023 Sudan Sudan 0-3 HT 0-1 Moritanya Moritanya AFUK
04.06.2022 Moritanya Moritanya 3-0 HT 2-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moritanya
0-2
AWAY Sudan
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moritanya vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sudan saw off Moritanya 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Moritanya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Moritanya had 60% of the ball to Sudan's 40%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moritanya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Moritanya and 0.00 for Sudan.

What was the final score of Moritanya vs Sudan?

Moritanya 0-2 Sudan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moritanya vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moritanya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 50%, draw 29%, Sudan 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moritanya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moritanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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