Adelaide City 1-3 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.02/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.22
-32% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY NE MetroStars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
30.08.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
24.08.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
03.08.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-4 HT 0-3 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
10.05.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
08.07.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars beat Adelaide City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adelaide City and 1.50 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars?

Adelaide City 1-3 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 25%, draw 28%, NE MetroStars 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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