NE MetroStars 1-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
2.01/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
+10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
30.08.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
24.08.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
03.08.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-4 HT 0-3 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
10.05.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
08.07.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
21.04.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars nicked a narrow win over Adelaide City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day NE MetroStars made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City?

NE MetroStars 1-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 40%, draw 25%, Adelaide City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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