Heidelberg United 1-1 Preston Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston Lions EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Preston Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United and Preston Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Preston Lions?

Heidelberg United 1-1 Preston Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Preston Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 38%, draw 28%, Preston Lions 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidelberg United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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