Adamstown Rosebuds 3-4 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.0pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.7pp
65%
Away Win
58%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.9pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.46/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.31/1.15
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Maitland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 2-7 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
23.03.2024 Maitland Maitland 1-1 HT 0-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
13.08.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-0 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
13.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 5-0 HT 2-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
18.06.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-5 HT 1-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
05.04.2022 Maitland Maitland 6-0 HT 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland squeezed past Adamstown Rosebuds 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maitland as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 4.00 for Maitland.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland?

Adamstown Rosebuds 3-4 Maitland in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 20%, draw 15%, Maitland 65%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maitland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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