Galler 3-0 Lihtenştayn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
13%
12.6
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
3.81
No
48%
1.22
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.77
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
44%
2.55
4-5 Goals
24%
2.3
6+ Goals
18%
3.35
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.55 — our 44% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
20%
4.27
X/2
5%
35.0
X/X
7%
23.75
2/1
20%
35.0
2/2
3%
35.0
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
87%
-14.8pp
13%
Draw
6%
+7.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
22%
+29.9pp
48%
BTTS No
78%
-29.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.17/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/3.92
+7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -43%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
473 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 2.1
22.3 Crosses 3.2
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lihtenştayn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
14.10.2009 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-2 HT 0-1 Galler Galler DKE
11.10.2008 Galler Galler 2-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler
3-0
AWAY Lihtenştayn
2.61 xG 0.00
79% Ball Possession 21%
26 Total Shots 0
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
640 Passes 110
91% Pass Accuracy 57%
54 Box Touches 0
50 Crosses 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galler vs Lihtenştayn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler ran out comfortable winners over Lihtenştayn 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galler as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

On the day, Galler had 79% of the ball to Lihtenştayn's 21%, shots finished 26-0, expected goals 2.61 to 0.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Galler had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Galler and 0.00 for Lihtenştayn.

What was the final score of Galler vs Lihtenştayn?

Galler 3-0 Lihtenştayn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler vs Lihtenştayn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Galler 72%, draw 13%, Lihtenştayn 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galler), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galler) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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