Norveç 3-0 İtalya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2025

Norveç
3-0 HT 3-0
İtalya
📅06/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Norveç vs İtalya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.85
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
7%
6.01
X/2
14%
5.94
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.78
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norveç v İtalya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.33
-26% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +85%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.1 Crosses 28.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Norveç vs İtalya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç
0W-1D-3L
AWAY İtalya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
340 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
The Meetings
13.10.2015 İtalya İtalya 2-1 HT 0-1 Norveç Norveç AVŞE
09.09.2014 Norveç Norveç 0-2 HT 0-1 İtalya İtalya AVŞE
04.06.2005 Norveç Norveç 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya İtalya DKE
04.09.2004 İtalya İtalya 2-1 HT 1-1 Norveç Norveç DKE

Norveç 3-0 İtalya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç
3-0
AWAY İtalya
1.51 xG 0.38
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
305 Passes 526
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norveç vs İtalya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç ran out comfortable winners over İtalya 3-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Norveç found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Norveç had 38% of the ball to İtalya's 62%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İtalya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Norveç and 1.50 for İtalya.

What was the final score of Norveç vs İtalya?

Norveç 3-0 İtalya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç vs İtalya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Norveç 31%, draw 29%, İtalya 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (İtalya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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