Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
59%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
14.1
1/2
5%
24.2
1/X
6%
22.45
X/1
8%
15.65
X/2
18%
3.78
X/X
8%
6.23
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
35%
1.67
2/X
6%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.6pp
59%
Away Win
67%
-8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 71%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.56/3.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.74
-16% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
9.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
10.0 Crosses 23.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Belçika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.03.2013 Belçika Belçika 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
22.03.2013 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 0-2 HT 0-1 Belçika Belçika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
1-1
AWAY Belçika
1.44 xG 2.11
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
200 Passes 479
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 40
2 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya and Belçika shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Belçika at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 32% of the ball to Belçika's 68%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.44 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belçika led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kuzey Makedonya and 1.50 for Belçika.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Belçika?

Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Belçika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 22%, draw 19%, Belçika 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Belçika), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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