Paraguay 2-0 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2025

Paraguay
2-0 HT 1-0
Uruguay
📅06/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Paraguay vs Uruguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.63
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
35%
Draw
35%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay v Uruguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.56/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.56
-24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.1 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Paraguay vs Uruguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Uruguay
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
271 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
28.01.2022 Paraguay Paraguay 0-1 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
29.06.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
04.06.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
06.09.2017 Paraguay Paraguay 1-2 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
07.09.2016 Uruguay Uruguay 4-0 HT 3-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE

Paraguay 2-0 Uruguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay
2-0
AWAY Uruguay
1.46 xG 0.25
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
87 Passes 338
52% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paraguay vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay got the better of Uruguay 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Paraguay found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paraguay had 29% of the ball to Uruguay's 71%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.46 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Paraguay and 1.33 for Uruguay.

What was the final score of Paraguay vs Uruguay?

Paraguay 2-0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Paraguay 35%, draw 35%, Uruguay 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
02:00 Ekvador vs Brezilya Analysis →
04:00 Şili vs Arjantin Analysis →
21:45 Norveç vs İtalya Analysis →
21:45 Kuzey Makedonya vs Belçika Analysis →
21:45 Galler vs Lihtenştayn Analysis →
21:45 Cebelitarık vs Hırvatistan Analysis →