06/07/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Twente vs Sint-Truiden Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
56%
25%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
21%
34%
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 2.5
66%
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
35%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Twente v Sint-Truiden — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Twente
The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sint-Truiden
The Market 25%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+68% /
+68%
2.75/1.29
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/1.00
+51%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+73%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 79%
6.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
5.0
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Twente vs Sint-Truiden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Twente and Sint-Truiden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match lean was Twente at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Twente vs Sint-Truiden?
Twente 2-2 Sint-Truiden in the Friendlies on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Twente vs Sint-Truiden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Twente 48%, draw 25%, Sint-Truiden 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Twente)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
6 Jul 2024