Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.60
+15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +101%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
3-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu beat Omiya Ardija 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Azul Claro Numazu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 55% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Omiya Ardija?

Azul Claro Numazu 3-1 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 39%, draw 25%, Omiya Ardija 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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