Grulla Morioka 0-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.06
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
02.06.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
26.11.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
08.04.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.11.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
25.07.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
0-1
AWAY Sagamihara
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Grulla Morioka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 44% of the ball to Sagamihara's 56%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Grulla Morioka and 0.80 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Sagamihara?

Grulla Morioka 0-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 31%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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