Gainare Tottori 1-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.16/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.47
-3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
29.07.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
17.06.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
23.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-3 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
09.07.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
1-2
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Gainare Tottori 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Giravanz Kitakyushu as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 50% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 50%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.40 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Gainare Tottori 1-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 32%, draw 25%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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