Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-0 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.20/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.07
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
31.8 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
326 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
09.06.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-3 HT 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
4-0
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.01 xG 0.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
28 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
351 Passes 197
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long swept aside Shanghai Jiading 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 59% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 41%, shots finished 28-2, expected goals 2.01 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.50 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-0 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 53%, draw 24%, Shanghai Jiading 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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