Nanjing City 1-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.19/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.28
-22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
14.6 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.71 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
275 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-2 HT 1-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
23.03.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
02.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
1-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.63 xG 0.71
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
151 Passes 392
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City and Yanbian Longding shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nanjing City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nanjing City had 33% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 67%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nanjing City and 0.75 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding?

Nanjing City 1-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 42%, draw 32%, Yanbian Longding 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nanjing City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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