Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.31/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.12
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +25%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
26.3 Crosses 11.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.69 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
309 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.06.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-3 HT 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.72 xG 0.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
344 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Jiading shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chongqing Tongliang Long carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 56% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 44%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 1.72 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 63%, draw 21%, Shanghai Jiading 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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