KR Reykjavik 1-2 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.32
No
33%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.5pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.97/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.42
+44% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.8 Crosses 26.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-4D-0L
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
316 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-2 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.10.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-4 HT 0-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
29.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
05.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
24.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-2
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.52 xG 1.70
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
484 Passes 118
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
31 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri squeezed past KR Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 73% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 27%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.52 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.00 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

KR Reykjavik 1-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 51%, draw 25%, KA Akureyri 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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