Miami FC 2-2 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.44
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.7 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.80 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
13.07.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
12.03.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
11.08.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
05.06.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-2
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.02 xG 2.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
241 Passes 236
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC and FC Tulsa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Miami FC had 49% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 51%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 1.02 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Miami FC and 1.20 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs FC Tulsa?

Miami FC 2-2 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 34%, draw 27%, FC Tulsa 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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