Rhode Island 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.26/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.42
-32% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.3 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.33 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
381 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
01.09.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.07.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-3 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-1
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.02 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
295 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Rhode Island at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 52% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 48%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rhode Island and 0.33 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Rhode Island 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 44%, draw 28%, Birmingham Legion 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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