06/08/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Almazan vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Numancia win — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
23%
Home Win
18%
21%
Draw
23%
56%
Away Win
58%
47%
Under 2.5
51%
53%
Over 2.5
49%
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
46%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almazan v Numancia — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Almazan
The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Numancia
The Market 62%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
264 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
431 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Almazan vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Numancia ran out comfortable winners over Almazan 4-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Almazan vs Numancia?
Almazan 0-4 Numancia in the Friendlies on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almazan vs Numancia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Almazan 23%, draw 21%, Numancia 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Numancia)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
6 Aug 2025