Orsha 2-1 Gomel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel II EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.05/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-41% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Gomel II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2026 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Gomel II Gomel II BLR1
06.04.2026 Gomel II Gomel II 0-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
26.10.2025 Orsha Orsha 1-3 HT 1-2 Gomel II Gomel II BLR1
22.06.2025 Gomel II Gomel II 2-5 HT 2-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
2-1
AWAY Gomel II
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Gomel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha edged past Gomel II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orsha as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orsha had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Orsha and 1.25 for Gomel II.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Gomel II?

Orsha 2-1 Gomel II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Gomel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orsha 48%, draw 20%, Gomel II 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orsha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orsha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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