Fortaleza CEIF 3-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 29.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.89 xG 1.62
17 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
279 Passes 502
19 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2026 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
3-2
AWAY Palmeiras
1.57 xG 1.29
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 436
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Palmeiras 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Palmeiras?

Fortaleza CEIF 3-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 22%, draw 25%, Palmeiras 53%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5
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