Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fluminense 1-3 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama saw off Fluminense 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.33 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense 1-3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 48%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.