Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
2-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
Fluminense 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Vasco da Gama 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 51% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fluminense and 1.33 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 48%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.