Sao Paulo 0-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 May 2025

Sao Paulo
0-2 HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Sao Paulo vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.31
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
11%
9.59
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
8.62
2/X
9%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Paulo v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.68
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
21.7 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sao Paulo vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.97 xG 0.42
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
460 Passes 219
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
17.05.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
09.05.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
30.07.2020 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-3 HT 2-2 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
20.01.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
25.01.2018 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU

Sao Paulo 0-2 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
0-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.70 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
397 Passes 386
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC saw off Sao Paulo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 51% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 49%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.70 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.83 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Mirassol FC?

Sao Paulo 0-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 44%, draw 28%, Mirassol FC 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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