Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.37/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.38
+16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.6 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Flamengo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
08.08.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
01.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
21.04.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
09.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
09.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-2
AWAY Flamengo
1.98 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
296 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo saw off Palmeiras 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Flamengo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 50% of the ball to Flamengo's 50%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.98 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 38%, draw 27%, Flamengo 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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