Gremio vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BRK
1-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
1-2
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 1-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio squeezed past Bahia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gremio found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Gremio had 32% of the ball to Bahia's 68%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.15 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gremio and 1.00 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio 1-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gremio 37%, draw 27%, Bahia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.