Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense edged past Vasco da Gama 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fluminense had 47% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.91 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fluminense and 2.00 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense 1-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 52%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.