Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama edged past Fluminense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 57% of the ball to Fluminense's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.17 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 34%, draw 25%, Fluminense 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.