Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vasco da Gama 3-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama edged past Fluminense 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Vasco da Gama made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 52% of the ball to Fluminense's 48%, shots finished 16-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.00 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama 3-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 32%, draw 28%, Fluminense 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fluminense) went the other way.