Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
3-3
HT 1-2
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Cruzeiro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 48% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 52%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro?
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 49%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.