Santos 1-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 33% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.9
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
13%
5.04
X/2
12%
7.17
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
10%
5.07
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.47/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.4 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
24.07.2025 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
22.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 7-1 HT 4-0 Santos Santos BR1
04.06.2023 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
01.10.2022 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.06.2022 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-2
AWAY Internacional
1.14 xG 1.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
363 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional edged past Santos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos had 61% of the ball to Internacional's 39%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.14 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos and 2.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Santos vs Internacional?

Santos 1-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santos 43%, draw 29%, Internacional 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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