Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Botafogo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 52% of the ball to Botafogo's 48%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.92 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 59%, draw 23%, Botafogo 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.