Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botafogo 0-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras edged past Botafogo 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Palmeiras found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Botafogo had 59% of the ball to Palmeiras's 41%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.63 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 0.83 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo 0-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 34%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.