Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Botafogo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 1.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 249
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.11.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-3 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
22.08.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
15.08.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
18.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.11.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-4 HT 3-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
1-0
AWAY Botafogo
1.26 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 8
389 Passes 471
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 27
32 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Botafogo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 47% of the ball to Botafogo's 53%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.26 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 1.83 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Botafogo?

Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo in the Women's World Cup on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 41%, draw 29%, Botafogo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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