Mirassol FC vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Mirassol FC 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba nicked a narrow win over Mirassol FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 69% of the ball to Coritiba's 31%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.74 to 1.31 — on chances, Mirassol FC could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.50 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Coritiba?
Mirassol FC 0-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 52%, draw 27%, Coritiba 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.