Bahia 2-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.12
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
6%
10.0
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
7%
23.95
2/2
10%
8.23
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.75/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.3 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
415 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Bahia Bahia 2-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
13.06.2025 Bragantino 0-3 HT 0-2 Bahia Bahia BR1
02.09.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.05.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
20.08.2023 Bahia Bahia 4-0 HT 2-0 Bragantino BR1
16.04.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia got the better of Bragantino 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahia and 0.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Bragantino?

Bahia 2-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bahia 58%, draw 22%, Bragantino 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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