Cruzeiro 2-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.62/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.67
-58% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +92%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
31.6 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
423 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2026 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
24.05.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
13.08.2022 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
01.05.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
25.11.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
21.08.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-0
AWAY Chapecoense
2.65 xG 0.04
29 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 2
448 Passes 234
42 Box Touches 2
40 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro saw off Chapecoense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 2.65 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.50 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense?

Cruzeiro 2-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Cup on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 60%, draw 25%, Chapecoense 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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