İzlanda U21 4-2 Danimarka U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
+12.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
51%
-11.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.39/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.95
+27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda U21
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Danimarka U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.58
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
133 Passes 596
60% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.03.2021 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 0-2 HT 0-2 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
14.10.2014 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
10.10.2014 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 0-0 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
18.06.2011 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-1 HT 0-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda U21
4-2
AWAY Danimarka U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İzlanda U21 vs Danimarka U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 saw off Danimarka U21 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day İzlanda U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İzlanda U21 had 44% of the ball to Danimarka U21's 56%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İzlanda U21 and 1.00 for Danimarka U21.

What was the final score of İzlanda U21 vs Danimarka U21?

İzlanda U21 4-2 Danimarka U21 in the European U21 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda U21 vs Danimarka U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danimarka U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İzlanda U21 37%, draw 23%, Danimarka U21 40%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
6 Sep 2024
15:30 Litvanya U21 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U21 Analysis →
19:00 Ermenistan U21 vs Finlandiya U21 Analysis →
19:00 Bosna-Hersek U21 vs Avusturya U21 Analysis →
19:00 Ukrayna U21 vs Sırbistan U21 Analysis →
19:00 İsveç U21 vs Cebelitarık U21 Analysis →
19:30 Romanya U21 vs Karadağ U21 Analysis →