Romanya U21 1-0 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
3.07
6+ Goals
8%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 32% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
35%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.6pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.44/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.33
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karadağ U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
04.09.2014 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 4-3 HT 1-3 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
10.09.2013 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 3-2 HT 2-0 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya U21
1-0
AWAY Karadağ U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Romanya U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U21 nicked a narrow win over Karadağ U21 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Romanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Romanya U21 had 51% of the ball to Karadağ U21's 49%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Romanya U21 and 3.00 for Karadağ U21.

What was the final score of Romanya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Romanya U21 1-0 Karadağ U21 in the European U21 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Romanya U21 60%, draw 25%, Karadağ U21 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Romanya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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