Ukrayna U21 2-1 Sırbistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
2.81/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.59
+28% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna U21
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan U21
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
16.11.2021 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 U21
03.09.2021 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 U21
29.03.2011 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 2-2 HT 0-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 HAZ
27.03.2009 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna U21
2-1
AWAY Sırbistan U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U21 vs Sırbistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U21 edged past Sırbistan U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ukrayna U21 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ukrayna U21 had 52% of the ball to Sırbistan U21's 48%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ukrayna U21 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ukrayna U21 and 0.75 for Sırbistan U21.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U21 vs Sırbistan U21?

Ukrayna U21 2-1 Sırbistan U21 in the European U21 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U21 vs Sırbistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U21 53%, draw 23%, Sırbistan U21 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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