Ermenistan U21 1-3 Finlandiya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.18
Over 2.5
43%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 33% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.0pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-17.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya U21 EU Bookmakers 71%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.66/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.24
-17% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +130%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Finlandiya U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2023 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 6-0 HT 2-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan U21
1-3
AWAY Finlandiya U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ermenistan U21 vs Finlandiya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya U21 got the better of Ermenistan U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Finlandiya U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ermenistan U21 had 47% of the ball to Finlandiya U21's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Ermenistan U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

Ermenistan U21 1-3 Finlandiya U21 in the European U21 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan U21 vs Finlandiya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finlandiya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan U21 21%, draw 30%, Finlandiya U21 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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