Alloa Athletic 5-4 Celtic II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic II EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Celtic II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Celtic II 5-4. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Alloa Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Celtic II?

Alloa Athletic 5-4 Celtic II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Celtic II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 42%, draw 19%, Celtic II 38%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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